Decision 2020 Updates, Polls, Notes, 19 Days & Counting



The presidential race in battleground Pennsylvania is tightening, an Insider Advantage/Center for American Greatness survey released this week shows.

Four-hundred likely voters across the Keystone State were asked, “If the election for President were being held today and the candidates were Donald Trump, the Republican, Joe Biden, the Democrat, or Jo Jorgensen, the Libertarian, for whom would you vote?” The survey found 45.8 percent backing Biden and 42.6 supporting Trump. Biden’s 3.2 percent lead is within the survey’s +/- 4.9 percent margin of error. While 2.4 percent indicated support for Libertarian candidate Jo Jorgensen, 9.3 percent said they were undecided. The survey found Biden enjoying an advantage among independent voters, 43.8 percent to Trump’s 37.5 percent.

Democrat presidential candidate Joe Biden and President Donald Trump are virtually tied in Florida, a Mason-Dixon poll released Friday — less than three weeks away from the presidential election — revealed.

Biden holds a narrow lead over the president in Florida, garnering 48 percent support to Trump’s 45 percent. However, his slim lead is within the survey’s +/- 4 percent margin of error, pointing to a virtual tie in the Sunshine State. Six percent remain undecided — a significant portion which could ultimately sway the state into one of the presidential hopefuls’ respective columns.

Friday’s RealClearPolitics average also reflected a tight race in Florida, with Biden up by 1.7 percent. The final RealClearPolitics average had Trump securing the state in 2016 by less than half a percentage point, but he went on to win the state by 1.2 percent.

President Donald Trump holds a slim lead over Democrat presidential candidate Joe Biden in battleground Arizona among likely voters, a Targoz Market Research/PollSmart survey released Thursday found.

The survey, fielded September 23 to October 2 among 1,045 likely voters, showed Trump narrowly leading Biden in the Grand Canyon State by two percentage points — 45 percent to the former vice president’s 43 percent, among likely voters, specifically. The gap narrows one percentage point for “likely with leaners,” with Trump garnering 46 percent to Biden’s 45 percent. Trump also holds a one-point advantage in a low turnout scenario.

Joe Biden (D) has an edge in battleground North Carolina, a Civiqs/DailyKos survey released this week revealed.

The former vice president leads President Trump in the Old North State, 51 percent to 46 percent. Two percent of likely North Carolina voters chose “someone else,” and one percent indicated they are “unsure.” Biden also has a slightly higher favorability rating than the president, 48 percent indicating a “favorable” view of the presidential hopeful, compared to 45 percent who said the same of Trump

The overwhelming majority of voters believe the nation is deeply divided over its most important values, and many have doubts about the health of the democracy itself. And supporters of President Donald Trump and Joe Biden alike think the opposing candidate will make things even worse if elected, according to a new poll from The Associated Press-NORC Center for Public Affairs Research.

Republican pollster Frank Luntz said Friday that Americans who are undecided regarding the presidential election do not like President Donald Trump but are afraid of Democrat Joe Biden’s policy proposals.

Luntz appeared on CNBC to discuss what he’s seeing among voters.

“They are nervous about Trump’s persona and they are nervous about Joe Biden’s policies, and that’s what is holding them back,” Luntz said regarding undecided voters.

“It’s not that they can’t see a difference between the two candidates. They see a tremendous difference.”

Here are the most recent polls :

Trump Job Approval Rasmussen 10/16 Approve 48, Disapprove 50
Mich: Trump vs. Biden Trafalgar 10/16 Trump 47, Biden 46
Fla: Trump vs. Biden Mason-Dixon 10/16 Biden 48, Trump 45
N.C.: Trump vs. Biden Emerson 10/16 Biden 49, Trump 49
S.C. Senate: Graham vs. Harrison NY Times/Siena College 10/15 Graham 46, Harrison 40
Penn: Trump vs. Biden InsiderAdvantage 10/15 Biden 46, Trump 43
Va: Trump vs. Biden Roanoke College 10/15 Biden 54, Trump 39





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