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A Win in 2014 Will Carry Into 2016 for the GOP

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Mr. Sofer writes that, “If the Republicans succeed in taking a majority of seats in congress, they will be able to oust Democrat Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid (pictured above) and replace him with a Republican Majority Leader.
With election day nearing, Republicans are busy preparing for the most crucial Midterm election in decades
Republican John Boehner who represents Ohio’s 8th congressional district is the 61st and current Speaker of the United States House of Representatives. His party stands poised to gain control of the Senate as well in the midterm elections
Sen Mitch McConnell, Jr. (R) is the senior United States Senator from Kentucky. Since 2007, he has been the Minority Leader of the Senate.

With election day nearing, Republicans are busy preparing for the most crucial Midterm election in decades. With control of the Senate within grasp, the Republicans need to seize this opportunity to control both houses of Congress for the first time since 2006. If the Republicans do gain control of Congress, they will not only gain political control for the remainder of President Obama’s term, they will gain popularity and support that will carry over into the 2016 presidential election.

If the Republicans succeed in taking a majority of seats in congress, they will be able to oust Democrat Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid and replace him with a Republican Majority Leader. Just this alone gives the Republicans far more credibility with the media and with the American public than they have attained in past years.

Since Reid has become the Majority Leader he has accused Republicans of being impossible to work saying “You cannot do business with bullies.” For the most part, America and the media has believed Reid, President Obama and other leading Democrats in blaming Republicans for Congress’ incompetence. However a Republican Senate Majority leader combined with a unified Republican congress gives Republicans the credibility and the power they need to push their agenda in Washington.

Furthermore, it will take away even more credibility from an already incredulous President Obama. Consider this, Republicans continue to pass bills on immigration reform yet each bill is vetoed by President Obama; who now is to blame for the lack of action? Certainly not the proactive Republicans in Congress.

While this is obviously positive in the short term, this gain of credibility also positively impacts the Presidential and Senatorial elections for the GOP in 2016. With an incredulous incumbent President, President Obama, and no clear congressional leader, the Democrat Presidential nominee will have no significant momentum going into the election.

In addition, the Democrats will start to lose the cushion they have received from the media in the past eight years and ultimately give away a substantial advantage they have enjoyed in the past two elections.

Credibility alone however is not enough for the GOP to carry its potential success in 2014 into 2016. In 2012, President Obama won only a slight majority of 26 states and needed to win all of the swing states in order to be re-elected. This showed that there were more strong Republican states than strong Democrat states and as a result the Democrats had to win more swing states. With a weak President in office, a lot Republican momentum, and a non favorable media it will be much harder for the Democrats to win all but one swing state, like they did in 2012.

 

Justin Sofer is a student at the Solomon Schechter school in Westchester

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